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DATA HANDLING AND PROBABILITY

Topic: topic_name_replace  |  Subject: subject_replace  |  Target age: age_replace

Learning Intentions

  • Collect and record simple data from class surveys or local contexts (e.g., rainfall, favourite fruits, number of goats).
  • Represent data using tally charts, frequency tables, pictograms, bar graphs and simple pie charts.
  • Calculate and interpret mean (average), median, mode and range for small datasets.
  • Understand basic probability language: experiment, outcome, event; and compute simple probabilities (fraction or percentage).

Key Terms

Data Tally Frequency Pictogram Bar chart Mean / Median / Mode Range Probability Outcome / Event

Collecting and Recording Data

Start with a question that can be answered by counting or measuring. Examples relevant to Kenya and a class of age_replace:

  • Survey: "Which fruit is your favourite?" — mango, banana, avocado, orange.
  • Measure: Daily rainfall (mm) for a week in Kisumu or Mombasa.
  • Count: Number of passengers boarding different matatu routes in a day (colours of matatu).

Recording with a Tally Chart

Fruit | Tally | Frequency
--------|-------|---------- Mango | |||| | 4
Banana | ||||| || | 7
Avocado | ||| | 3
Orange | || | 2

Representing Data

Use clear displays so others can understand results quickly.

Pictogram (1 picture = 1 pupil)

Example: Favourite sport in class (football ⚽, netball 🏐, running 🏃)

Football: ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽ (5)
Netball: 🏐🏐🏐 (3)
Running: 🏃🏃 (2)

Bar Chart (simple SVG)

Mango Banana Avocado 7 10 4

Label axes and give units (e.g., number of pupils, mm of rainfall).

Summary Measures (Mean, Median, Mode, Range)

  • Mode: The value that appears most often. Example: marks {56, 60, 60, 72} → mode = 60.
  • Median: Middle value after sorting. For even number of items, take the average of two middle values. Example: {50, 54, 60, 68} → median = (54 + 60)/2 = 57.
  • Mean (Average): Add all values then divide by the number of values. Example: marks {50, 54, 60} → mean = (50 + 54 + 60) / 3 = 164/3 ≈ 54.67.
  • Range: Difference between largest and smallest. Example: {20, 30, 45, 60} → range = 60 − 20 = 40.

Class tip: Use real school data (heights, scores) to practise calculating these statistics.

Basic Probability

Probability measures how likely an event is to happen. It can be shown as a fraction, decimal or percentage.

Probability formula: P(event) = Number of favourable outcomes / Total number of possible outcomes

Common simple examples

  • Coin toss — P(heads) = 1/2 = 0.5 = 50%.
  • Die roll — P(4) = 1/6 ≈ 0.167 ≈ 16.7%.
  • Class example with Kenyan context: A matatu park has 10 matatus: 4 green, 3 white, 3 red. Probability of picking a green matatu = 4/10 = 0.4 = 40%.

Simple events and language

Certain event: probability = 1. Impossible event: probability = 0. Likely/unlikely are informal ways to describe comparison of probabilities.

Worked Examples

Example 1 — Pictogram and Mean

A class records the number of mangoes eaten in a week by 5 pupils: {2, 3, 1, 4, 2}. Find the mean and mode.

Mean = (2 + 3 + 1 + 4 + 2) / 5 = 12/5 = 2.4 mangoes

Mode = 2 (appears twice)

Example 2 — Probability (matatu colours)

At the stage there are 5 green, 3 red and 2 white matatus (total 10). Probability of boarding a red matatu?

P(red) = 3/10 = 0.3 = 30%

Simple Classroom Activities (for age_replace)

  • Survey classmates on favourite drink (tea, milk, juice). Record tallies and make a pictogram.
  • Measure shoe sizes and make a frequency table; compute median and mode.
  • Probability game: Put 10 coloured beads in a bag (3 red, 4 blue, 3 yellow). Pupils predict and test the probability of drawing a blue bead.
  • Collect weekly rainfall (mm) for your local area and plot a simple line or bar chart to show changes.

Practice Questions

  1. A class of 20 pupils: 6 like mango, 8 like banana, 4 like avocado and 2 like orange. Make a frequency table and draw a pictogram (1 pict = 2 pupils). What is the probability that a randomly chosen pupil likes banana?
  2. Find the mean, median, mode and range for the set: {12, 15, 15, 18, 21}.
  3. A spinner has 4 equal sections coloured: red, blue, green, yellow. What is P(not green)?
Answers (click to view)
  1. Frequency: Mango 6, Banana 8, Avocado 4, Orange 2. Pictogram (1 picture = 2): Mango ●●●, Banana ●●●●, Avocado ●●, Orange ●. P(banana) = 8/20 = 0.4 = 40%.
  2. Sorted: 12, 15, 15, 18, 21. Mean = (12+15+15+18+21)/5 = 81/5 = 16.2. Median = 15. Mode = 15. Range = 21 − 12 = 9.
  3. P(not green) = 3/4 = 0.75 = 75%.

Tips & Common Mistakes

  • Always label charts and include units (e.g., "Number of pupils", "mm").
  • When computing the mean, check you divided by the correct number of items.
  • For probability, ensure the total number includes all possible outcomes.
  • Use real local examples (market prices, rainfall, matatu colours) to make lessons relevant to Kenyan learners.
Notes prepared for classroom use. Replace topic_name_replace, subject_replace and age_replace with the actual topic, subject and age group when adapting.
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